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Showing posts with the label economic forcasts

Ghosts Of Debt And Jobs Will Haunt Economy...

OPINION : By 2015, Iceland will almost certainly be a lot better off than Ireland because it dealt decisively with its banks ... WHILE THINGS are hard to predict, the future, especially the situation of the Irish economy, is so stark that even an economist can make some predictions that stand a chance of being right. Two ghosts of Christmas will haunt Ireland in 2015: jobs and debt. For 20 years, the Irish economy experienced extraordinary growth. Unfortunately, this growth came from two separate booms that merged imperceptibly into each other. First we had real growth in the 1990s, driven by rising competitiveness and exports. However, after 2000 competitiveness collapsed, and growth came to be driven by a lending bubble without equal in the euro zone. As Michael Hennigan of Finfacts (www.finfacts.ie) has pointed out, of the half million jobs created in the last decade, only 4,000 were in exporting firms; and fewer people now work in IDA-supported companies than in 2000. The Irish eco...

Ireland - State Of Emergency...

State of emergency... BRIAN COWEN last night tried to get a grip on the country’s escalating economic crisis by calling an emergency October budget that looks primed to inflict deep spending cuts. The unprecedented decision to advance the budget — the centrepiece of the Dáil year — by almost two months to October 14 was sparked by shock in government circles at the collapse in tax revenues over the summer that has left the country heading for a €6 billion deficit by the year-end. The cabinet made the dramatic move as unemployment surged to a 10-year high as dole queues swelled by record amounts for the fourth month in succession. Finance Minister Brian Lenihan said the Government’s priority was to “curb spending” and this would be achieved through a “balance” of taxation, borrowing and cuts as he warned the country faced the worst economic conditions since the late 1980s. “We cannot let our state to drift into fiscal unsustainability. We have to take corrective action,” said Mr Lenihan...

Just Clowen' Around...Shortfall Of Over €1.5bn For Ireland's Tax Returns

The Irish Times has a report from Stephen Collins, (Political Editor,)on the deteriorating state of Ireland's finances... "Tax Returns expected to show tax shortfall of at least €1.5bn... THE SCALE of the financial crisis facing the country will become clear today with the publication of the exchequer returns, which are expected to show a dramatic shortfall of at least €1.5 billion in tax revenues for the first half of the year. The Cabinet discussed the rapidly deteriorating financial situation yesterday, but final decisions on the strategy to deal with the issue will not be taken until next week's Cabinet meeting after Ministers have considered the official figures. The Taoiseach, Brian Cowen, confirmed in the Dáil yesterday that tax revenues for the first six months were down but he said exact figures would not be available until today. He added that the Minister for Finance Brian Lenihan had briefed the Government in general terms about the figures and would be issuing...